What are the national implications of a California ballot initiative that seeks to suspend the state's landmark climate law?
Golden State voters will decide on November 2 whether Proposition 23 should pass. This battle has become a bellwether for the fate of national climate change initiatives. California's climate law paved the way for similar state initiatives and was a model for the federal cap-and-trade legislation, which Democrats tried but failed to move through Congress this year. Environmental advocates say passage of Prop 23 could doom that effort for the foreseeable future, while proponents of the initiative argue that California's climate law will wreak havoc on the state's economy. Recent polling and an influx of contributions against the proposition indicate the initiative could likely fail.
What is at stake for the country when Californians vote on Prop 23? Depending on the outcome, what will be the regional and national repercussions of this initiative? What arguments from both sides of the debate, which mainly focus on the economy, are the most persuasive? And how could these arguments reverberate on the national stage?